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Preprint WatchMildSeptember 25th, 2026

Gene-Based Rare Variant Burden Analyses Across Biobanks Identify Novel High-Risk Genes for Thoracic Aortic Disease

Murdock DR, Guan P, Guo D, Bermudez F, DePaolo J, Cabot J, Nazeen S, Nasir H, Gupta R, Jha A, Elefteriades J, McGivern B, McWalter K, Anderson S, Jones C, Lynch J, Chang K, Tsao P, VA Million Veteran Program, Penn Medicine BioBank, Damrauer S, Chen H, Milewicz D.

Gene-based rare variant burden analysis across five biobanks identifies ENPP1 as one of eight novel candidate genes for thoracic aortic aneurysm and dissection, extending ENPP1 loss of function pathology from infantile arterial calcification into adult aortic disease.

Mild contradiction

1 prior failure

One documented clinical failure (Phase 1 or 2) overlaps with the claimed mechanism.

This preprint adds replicated human genetic support for ENPP1 in arterial disease on the same day that the Claidex graph recorded its first ENPP1 failure. Murdock and colleagues report ENPP1 among eight novel candidate genes for thoracic aortic aneurysm and dissection, surviving replication across up to five biobanks with more than 10,000 cases and 880,000 controls. The matching entry, inz-701-enpp1-gaci-energy-2-phase3-biomarker-failure, covers INZ-701, a recombinant ENPP1-Fc enzyme replacement discontinued after the Phase 3 ENERGY 3 trial met its plasma pyrophosphate co-primary endpoint and missed the radiographic rickets co-primary. The flag is mild because the recorded failure was not an efficacy failure against the vascular biology. It is worth registering anyway, because the genetics here point at the arterial compartment, which is precisely the endpoint the discontinued programme never read out, and a future ENPP1 programme that chooses a vascular endpoint over a skeletal one would be reading this literature rather than repeating the last design.

Abstract excerpt

Background: Thoracic aortic aneurysms enlarge silently and can cause fatal aortic dissection without timely surgical repair, underscoring the need for improved approaches to identify individuals at high risk. Rare pathogenic variants in established heritable thoracic aortic disease (HTAD) genes explain only a subset of familial and fewer nonfamilial thoracic aortic disease (TAD) cases. Methods: We performed phenotype-stratified, genome-wide, gene-based rare-variant burden analyses of ultrarare damaging missense and predicted loss-of-function variants. Primary analyses focused on aortic dissection, thoracic aortic aneurysm requiring surgical repair, and their combined phenotype. Broader thoracic aortic aneurysm (TAA) was evaluated as a secondary phenotype. Discovery analyses were conducted in the UK Biobank and All of Us, followed by independent replication in the Penn Medicine BioBank, Mass General Brigham Biobank, and Million Veteran Program. Discovery and replication results were subsequently combined in an overall fixed-effect, inverse-variance-weighted meta-analysis across up to five biobanks. Implicated genes were further evaluated in additional clinically ascertained TAD cohorts and using single-cell transcriptomic data from human thoracic aortic tissue. Results: Discovery analyses identified 80 genes reaching study-wide significance across the prespecified TAD phenotypes. These included six established and two putative HTAD genes. Fourteen genes demonstrated independent replication support and reached study-wide significance in the overall meta-analysis across up to five biobanks, which included more than 10,000 cases and 880,000 controls. The eight novel candidate genes among these were FNDC3B, ROCK1, URM1, SLFN11, ENPP1, CLEC16A, CREM, and VCAN. Associations were strongest for dissection and TAA requiring surgical repair. Four novel associations were driven exclusively by missense variants. FNDC3B was observed in a family with HTAD, while additional variants were identified primarily in sporadic dissection or aortic surgery cohorts, suggesting that other genetic or physiologic factors may influence penetrance. The implicated genes showed cell-type-specific expression patterns in human thoracic aortic tissue. Conclusions: These findings expand the genetic architecture of TAD by identifying eight novel candidate genes and demonstrate the utility of phenotype-stratified rare variant burden analyses across large biobanks for gene discovery.

Matching Claidex post-mortems

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This is an automated contradiction flag, not an editorial judgment on the preprint's quality. Flags identify where the preclinical literature and the clinical failure record diverge.