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Preprint WatchStrongOctober 27th, 2026

Paired activity learning supports systematic identification of mutant-selective EGFR inhibitors

Zhu, J.; Kong, W.; Huang, L.; Song, Z. Z.; Ying, H.; Kurppa, K. J.; Miihkinen, M.; Zhu, S.-J.; Aittokallio, T.

A paired-activity regression framework trained on matched bioactivity data can systematically identify compounds with differential activity against the EGFR triple mutant versus wild-type EGFR, offering a route past resistance to first-, second- and third-generation EGFR inhibitors.

Strong contradiction

3 prior failures

Three or more documented clinical failures match this mechanism, or a Phase 3 efficacy failure is on record.

This preprint proposes a paired-activity learning framework for identifying inhibitors selective for the EGFR L858R/T790M/C797S triple mutant over wild-type EGFR in non-small cell lung cancer. Claidex holds three EGFR post-mortems, and each bears on the distance between a clean selectivity profile and a clinical result. The entry bg-60366-egfr-cdac-nsclc-strategic-shutdown records a Phase 1 EGFR degrader halted by sponsor decision. The entry fpi-2107-egfr-cmet-nsclc-dosimetry-uptake-failure records a translational mismatch in which dosimetry and tumour uptake did not follow from target affinity. The entry tak-186-mvc-101-egfr-cd3-cobra-solid-tumors-phase1-2-efficacy-failure records an efficacy failure in EGFR-expressing solid tumours despite a conditionally active design. The common thread is that selectivity measured in biochemical and cellular assays has repeatedly failed to predict exposure, delivery and response in patients. This framework addresses compound selection, which sits upstream of all three failures, and the claim it supports is a ranking claim rather than a clinical one. Work building on it should carry an exposure and target-engagement plan into trial design rather than treating mutant selectivity as the limiting step.

Abstract excerpt

Acquired resistance to epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) inhibitors remains a major clinical challenge in non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC), where successive rounds of therapy with first- and third-generation EGFR inhibitors often lead to increasingly resistant EGFR variants. In particular, EGFR L858R/T790M/C797S triple mutation renders tumors resistant to earlier-generation inhibitors, while disrupting the covalent engagement required by third-generation inhibitors such as osimertinib. Here, we developed an integrated computational-experimental framework for identifying compounds with differential activity between the triple-mutant EGFR and wild-type EGFR. Matched bioactivity measurements were leveraged to train a mutant-aware paired-activity regression framework, and the predicted candidates meeting stringent potency and mutant-preference criteria were subsequently evaluated using a support vector machine classifier for triple-mutant activity. Application of this sequential screening approach to 12 million molecules identified 16 consensus hits, including several previously reported inhibitors of drug-resistant EGFR variants. Based on their predicted differential activity and degree of prior characterization, five hit compounds were prioritized for initial biochemical evaluation, and two were selected for further biochemical, cellular and structural characterization. Mutant EGFR crystal structures in complex with the best-performing compounds revealed two distinct noncovalent binding modes within the ATP-binding cleft, demonstrating the ability of the framework to identify potent inhibitors with diverse binding modes. Together, this work illustrates how incorporating mutant-selectivity into a predictive framework as paired activities support the identification of mutant EGFR inhibitors and provide insights into their potency and selectivity. The discovered complementary structures provide experimentally defined templates for optimizing potency, mutant preference and drug-like properties of these and future compounds combating drug resistant NSCLC.

Matching Claidex post-mortems

3 of 3 indexed

This is an automated contradiction flag, not an editorial judgment on the preprint's quality. Flags identify where the preclinical literature and the clinical failure record diverge.